By: Andrew DaBella

11-18-2025

On Thursday, November 20th at 7:15 p.m. (CST), Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills (7-3) travel to Houston to take on Davis Mills and the Houston Texans (5-5) at NRG Stadium.

Lets start with a recap of the previous games for these two teams:

The last outing for the Bills had them matched up against Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers, to which both teams were 6-3, and were looking for a big win.

This game went on to be by #1 nominee for game of the year. While it was not a shootout from both teams, it was a massive scoring affair with the lead shifting back and forth until the 4th quarter.

Josh Allen finished the night going 19-30 with 317 Yds, 3 rushing TDs, 3 passing TDs, and 2 Ints, leading the bills to a 44-32 win.

The Houston Texans last outing was not as pretty of a win, but a win none the less.

With Davis Mills leading the charge with CJ Shroud on concussion protocol they traveled to Nashville to take on the Cam Ward and the Tennessee Titans.

The Texans defense held Tennessee to 13 points on the night with 229 yards of total offense and 4 yards per play. While this may sounds impressive, the titans are last in the league for points scored and yards per game.

On the offensive side of the ball, the Texans scored under 20 points for the 6th time this season with this being the first win while scoring this low.

Below are my personal picks for this Week 12 Thursday night matchup:

O/U set at 43.5

Bills: Spread -5.5 money: -255

Player Props:

Josh Allen under 224.5: he has been held under this mark in half of his games this season and faces the #1 defense in the league and #3 in passing defense. While this does have the possibility to go the other if the Texans offense gets moving, this game could pose to be low scoring.

James Cook III over 93.5 rushing and receiving: hitting this mark in the past 3 of 5 games I believe Allen will targeting him more for short yard distance against a defense that may shut down the run.

Anytime TD scorers (possibilities)(take your pick): These three are who I believe to be the most likely to score a touchdown:

Josh Allen: Anytime -120

Tyrell Shavers: Anytime +550

James Cook: Anytime -115

Texans: Spread +5.5 money: +210

Player Props:

Davis Mills under 210.5: Houston’s offense faces the #2 passing defense in the league with a backup quarterback who was held to only 137 yards against a top 10 passing defense in the league

Woody Marks over 63.5: He has not hit this mark in his last 5 games, but now faces the 31st running defense in the league. Bills allow 153 yards per game, splitting the backfield with Nick Chubb, it is possible he hits his over as well set at 20.5

Anytime TD scorers (possibilities)(take your pick): These three are who I believe to be the most likely to score a touchdown:

Woody Marks: Anytime +125

Jayden Higgins: Anytime +500

Davis Mills: Anytime +1200

Updates will be available on Friday night on whether or not these props came into fruition.